2 月 12 日至 2 月 16 日期间，流入现货比特币 (BTC) 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的资金超过 22 亿美元，表明投资者兴趣浓厚。彭博社分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯 (Eric Balchunas) 在 X 帖子中表示，贝莱德的 iShares 比特币信托 (IBIT) 今年迄今已吸引了 52 亿美元的资金流入，“占贝莱德 417 只 ETF 净流入总额的 50%”。
比特币本周继续上涨，上涨约 7%，但多头面临 52,000 美元附近的强劲阻力。近期的担忧之一是破产的加密贷款公司 Genesis 可能会出售价值约 13 亿美元的灰度比特币信托股票以偿还债权人。
加密货币市场数据每日查看。来源： Coin360
如果比特币在短期内盘整，行动可能会转向山寨币。过去几天突破各自上方阻力位的部分山寨币可能会继续上涨。
比特币能否在短期内避免抛售？如果确实如此，让我们看一下可能会延续上涨走势的前 5 名加密货币的图表。
比特币价格分析
比特币一直面临着接近 52,000 美元的抛售。 2 月 17 日，空头试图将价格压低至 50,000 美元以下，但烛台上的长尾显示逢低买盘强劲。
BTC/USDT 日线图。来源： TradingView
52,000 美元阻力位的小幅修正表明多头并不急于获利了结，因为他们预计上涨趋势将持续。如果价格突破并维持在 52,000 美元上方，BTC/USDT 货币对可能会开始向北进军至 60,000 美元。
持续上涨的一个小风险是相对强弱指数（RSI）在一段时间内一直处于超买区域。这表明近期涨势可能过热。
空头必须将价格拉至 20 天指数移动平均线（47,809 美元）以下，以表明调整阶段的开始。然后该货币对可能会滑向 50 日简单移动平均线（44,441 美元）。
BTC/USDT 4 小时图。来源：TradingView
空头将价格拉低至 4 小时图上的 20 日均线下方，但无法维持较低水平。这表明多头正试图大力保护该水平。买家必须克服 52,817 美元的障碍，才能增加上涨至 55,000 美元的可能性。
如果空头想要阻止上涨，他们将不得不将价格拖至移动平均线以下。随后该货币对可能会跌至 48,970 美元的突破位。多头将努力守住这一水平，但如果他们的努力失败，该货币对可能会跌至 47,000 美元，最终跌至 44,700 美元。
BNB价格分析
BNB (BNB) is in an uptrend, but the rally is facing headwinds near the stiff resistance at $360. A minor positive is that the bulls have not ceded ground to the bears.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($328) and the RSI near the overbought territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers achieve a close above $360, the BNB/USDT pair could start the next leg of the journey to $400. This level may prove to be a difficult hurdle to cross, but if overcome, the next stop could be $460.
Conversely, if the price closes below $348, the short-term traders may book profits. That could start a correction to the 20-day EMA and then to the 50-day SMA ($313). A short-term trend change will be signaled if the pair closes below the 50-day SMA.
BNB/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to defend the 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart, but the bears have kept up the pressure. If the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will attempt to push the pair to $366. A break above this resistance will indicate the resumption of the uptrend. The pair may then rise to $400.
Contrarily, if the price remains below the 20-EMA, it will indicate that the bears are on a comeback. The pair may then tumble to the 50-SMA.
Kaspa price analysis
Kaspa (KAS) surged above the $0.15 overhead resistance on Feb. 17, indicating the resumption of the uptrend.
KAS/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.13) shows an advantage to buyers, but the overbought levels on the RSI suggest that the rally may have run up too fast in the near term. If the price turns down from the current level, it is likely to find support at $0.15. A solid rebound off this level will enhance the prospects of a rally to $0.20.
On the other hand, if the price turns down sharply and breaks below $0.14, it will signal that the uptrend may have ended in the near term. The KAS/USDT pair could then plummet to the 50-day SMA ($0.11).
KAS/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is facing resistance at $0.17, but a positive sign is that the bulls have not allowed the price to dip below the 20-EMA. The upsloping moving averages and the RSI near the overbought zone indicate advantage to buyers. If the price rises above $0.17, the uptrend could continue to $0.20.
The buyers are expected to defend the zone between the 20-EMA and the 50-SMA on any correction. A break below the 50-SMA may suggest that the bears are back in the driver’s seat.
Related: BTC price dices with $52K as CME Bitcoin futures OI hits record $6.8B
VeChain price analysis
VeChain (VET) picked up momentum after breaking above the 50-day SMA ($0.03) on Feb. 12, indicating aggressive buying by the bulls.
VET/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The VET/USDT pair broke above the $0.04 overhead resistance on Feb. 15, signaling the start of the next leg of the uptrend. However, the long wick on the Feb. 16 candlestick shows that the bears are trying to halt the up move near $0.05.
If buyers do not give up much ground, the possibility of the continuation of the up move increases. If the price closes above $0.05, the pair may soar to $0.07.
Contrary to the assumption, if the price continues lower and breaks below $0.04, it will indicate that the bulls are rushing to the exit. The pair may then slump to the moving averages.
VET/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to arrest the pullback at the 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart. If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above $0.05, it will indicate that the sentiment remains positive and traders continue to buy on dips.
Instead, if the price breaks below the 20-EMA, it will suggest profit booking by the bulls. If the price maintains below the 20-EMA, the pair could plunge to the 50-SMA. A deeper fall is likely to delay the start of the next leg of the rally.
Render price analysis
Render (RNDR) broke and closed above the $5.28 overhead resistance on Feb. 15, indicating the resumption of the uptrend.
RNDR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears tried to pull the price back below the breakout level on Feb. 17, but the bulls held their ground. This indicates that the buyers are trying to flip the $5.28 level into support. If they succeed, the RNDR/USDT pair could rise to the pattern target of $7.
The rally of the past few days pushed the RSI into the overbought zone, indicating the possibility of a minor correction or consolidation. A break and close below $5 will be a sign of weakness and may trap the aggressive bulls. The pair could then plunge to the 50-day SMA ($4.34).
RNDR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The moving averages on the 4-hour chart are sloping up, and the RSI is near 60, indicating that the bulls have the upper hand. If the price rises above $5.71, the pair could rally to $6. The trend will favor the bulls if the price remains above the 20-EMA.
The RSI is forming a negative divergence, indicating that the bullish momentum could be slowing down. If the price skids below the 20-EMA, the decline is likely to reach the 50-SMA. A break below this level may open the doors for a fall to $4.40.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
