今晚,虚拟货币市场遭遇抛售风暴!
1月3日20点,比特币价格突然暴跌,短短10分钟暴跌超过4000美元。 截至21点20分,比特币价格短期止跌反弹。
1月3日20:00开始,比特币价格迅速下跌,5分钟内就被做空者赶出了“瀑布”。 失守45000美元关键点后,比特币看涨防线崩溃再次下跌,跌破44000美元、43000美元、42000美元整数关口。
据Coinglass统计,截至1月3日21:00,24小时内已有超过17万人全网平仓,总平仓金额达到6.13亿美元(约合人民币43.8亿元)。
由于比特币价格大幅下跌,虚拟货币市场遭遇血洗,多种主流虚拟货币价格大幅下跌。 截至21点20分,以太坊跌幅超过7%,瑞波币跌幅超过12%,狗狗币跌幅超过10%。
中国证券报记者注意到,市场投资者对于比特币未来走势存在较大分歧。 有分析指出,比特币现货ETF近期将在美国获批的预期,加上美联储降息预期不断升温,引发了投资者对虚拟货币市场的投资热情,推动了此前比特币价格的飙升。 今天的大幅下跌可能是由于近期价格上涨过快而导致投资者倾向于获利了结造成的回调。
链上分析师阿里在社交平台上发布的数据显示,过去10天里,比特币矿工卖出了约4000枚比特币,总价值超过1.76亿美元。
消息面上,当地时间1月3日,Matrixport研究报告显示,由于所有比特币现货ETF申请未能满足其中一项关键要求,SEC(美国证券交易委员会)预计将在1月份拒绝所有申请。 目前,美国证券交易委员会投票委员会不太可能批准比特币现货 ETF,这将使比特币合法化。
Hong Shuning, a senior Bitcoin researcher, told a reporter from the China Securities Journal that the research report released by Matrixport today predicts that if the SEC refuses to approve, there will be large-scale liquidation activities in the market, and the price of Bitcoin will therefore fall to US$36,000 to US$38,000. The market was affected by this news, causing panic selling. However, before the official news from the SEC is released, the market may undergo major adjustments, and investors should pay attention to the risks.
Since the second half of 2023, the price of Bitcoin has continued to rise, with a cumulative increase of more than 145% in 2023. Affected by the upward trend of the overall market, the total market value of virtual currencies has grown rapidly. According to data from Coingecko, the current total market value of virtual currencies is close to 1.5 trillion US dollars (approximately 10.7 trillion yuan).
Although today's plunge has caused heavy losses to many investors, there are still many investors who are bullish on Bitcoin. According to Coinglass statistics, in the past three months, the long-short ratio of investor positions has shown a trend of first increasing and then slowly declining. It is still above the 1.25 level. At the same time, the ratio of long-short positions is 1.09:1.
Ayyar, vice president of international markets at virtual currency trading platform CoinDCX, said that the current Bitcoin rally is largely based on the expectation that the Bitcoin spot ETF will be approved. If the Bitcoin spot ETF is once again rejected by U.S. regulators, the current Bitcoin rally may come to an end and the correction will continue. Therefore, many speculators currently tend to take profits, and the virtual currency market has fallen back.
The application process of Bitcoin spot ETF in the United States has been tortuous, which can be traced back to 2013 when the wealthy Winklevoss twin brothers applied. However, it has been repeatedly rejected by the SEC, mainly due to concerns about the greater risks for investors in the Bitcoin market.
Since last year, many financial institutions such as BlackRock have submitted applications for Bitcoin spot ETFs, attracting market attention. According to incomplete statistics, 13 applicant institutions have currently held 24 meetings with the SEC to discuss the relevant details of the Bitcoin spot ETF.
Recently, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said: “If we don’t see the adoption of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the next two weeks, it may be because the SEC wants longer to resolve the matter.”