2010 年的鲸鱼引发了比特币价格暴跌

昨天比特币的暴跌似乎部分是由鲸鱼在 2010 年通过挖矿直接积累加密货币的大笔抛售引发的。

该神秘实体在交易时段总共出售了 1000 BTC，该神秘实体此前曾在过去几年中清算过另一笔开采供应，当时区块奖励较高且市场竞争很少。

具体来说，让我们看看这些销售对比特币价格产生的真正影响是什么，以及鲸鱼是否仍然有资源可以货币化。

比特币价格走势：昨天的暴跌是由 2010 年开采 BTC 的鲸鱼造成的

昨天，当比特币在经历一系列积极蜡烛之后即将经历第一次大跌时，

据 btcparser.com 网站称，这位 BTC 大户在 833,219 区块内的多笔交易中，总共将 1000 BTC 转移到 Coinbase，价值约

总体而言，这些到交易所的转账源自 20 个不同的 Pay-to-Public-Key-Hash (P2PKH) 地址，每个地址包含 50 个比特币（2010 年的原始区块奖励），然后合并为一个 Pay-to-Script-Hash（ P2SH）地址，在区块浏览器上公开显示为“36i1W”。

同样的代币最初是在 2010 年 8 月、9 月、10 月和 11 月开采的，当时该货币的交易价格为 0.39 美元，昨天的交易日以历史高位出售。

没有人知道谁隐藏在矿工的加密身份背后：最可怕的是，在

与许多人认为的相反，这头鲸鱼并没有闲置 14 年，而是已经转移了几枚代币以赚取一些利润。

事实上，提取第一批比特币的同一地址还

第一次转账可以追溯到 2020 年 3 月 11 日，正好是在 covid-19 到来引起的恐慌蔓延期间，比特币暴跌 40% 的前一天。

3月份之后，同年10月份进行了第二次调查，随后几个月进行了其他交易。

鲸鱼在 2021 年恢复活动，这次比特币 ATH 也达到了 69,000 美元，之后是熊市典型的长期抛售阶段

从那时起，这个话题就沉寂了两年，直到 2023 年 12 月才重新出现，最后就在几天前。

It is very curious that the movements of the entity correspond to very important moments for the price action of the asset, precursors of trend reversals in the medium term, and sometimes coincide with historical dates on the bitcoin calendar, as happened on the date of its anniversary on January 3, 2021.

According to some estimates (not currently verified), the whale still owns several coins, ready to be moved at the most opportune moment.

Volumes of exchange significantly higher than the entity’s sales

At this point we move on to observe what were actually the “damages” caused to the price of Bitcoin by the sales of the alleged whale just before yesterday’s dump.

Many users on X seem convinced that the profit taking by this entity was the move that caused the crash, leading to liquidations of over 1 billion dollars of futures positions in the market.

However, in reality, observing what are simply the data of the volumes on the main cryptographic exchange markets, we notice that the impact of a 1000 BTC sell should be minimal on the price of the asset.

For example, on Coinbase yesterday a total of 65,575 BTC were traded (only on the BTC-USD trading pair) for a total value of over 4.3 billion dollars.

Even assuming that all the quota transferred by the whale has been liquidated instantly (we can only guess, but not empirically prove), it would represent just 1.52% of the spot volumes recorded on Coinbase, all without considering the other trading pairs of the exchange, the other spot markets, the futures markets, and the multi-billion dollar exchanges happening on Wall Street through the new ETFs.

In this regard, the latter seem to be the real catalysts of new impulses, in pump or on dump, given the large amounts of capital moved during trading sessions in funds managed by BlackRock, Grayscale, Fidelity, Bitwise etc.

Yesterday, trading on bitcoin ETFs reached a record volume of $9.58 billion, approximately 150 times the value sold yesterday by the whale at all-time highs.

ULTIME NOTIZIE: Il #volume di scambi degli #ETF su #Bitcoin spot ieri ha superato i i 9,58 miliardi di dollari, stabilendo un nuovo record:BlackRock: $3.703.236.139Grayscale: $2.794.038.139Fidelity: $2.028.277.875ARK Invest: $483.929.681Bitwise: $294.442.475Invesco:…

At most, we can throw a stone in favor of those who think that the transfer of 1000 BTC was still an event to be taken into consideration, if we hypothesize that this may have pushed other large whales to switch to sales.

Following the flow of capital managed by those in the crypto world for many more years than us could indeed have been the strategy of several operators, who, noticing the liquidations by the dormant address, also decided to sell their own stocks.

然而，由于我们无法验证这种假设的相关性，因此我们只是将这种规模的交易描述为“无关紧要”，因为它们不能单独导致我们昨天目睹的抛售程度。