柴犬能在 2024 年翻转狗狗币吗？

资料来源：Santiment

柴犬进化，但狗狗币不睡觉

一些玩家认为柴犬可以翻转狗狗币的原因之一是因为生态系统的变化。

在2021年最后一次牛市之前，狗狗币已经演变成一种支付方式。

在某种程度上，特斯拉、Twitch 和 Newegg 等公司都将其作为支付选项。

在那段时期，柴犬仅依靠其社区来成长。

然而，在过去的一年半中，柴犬一直在为其生态系统开发用例。

最显着的发展是Shibarium。

Shibarium 是 Shiba Inu 生态系统的第二层 (L2) 网络，建立在以太坊 [ETH] 区块链上。

值得注意的是，与同类货币不同，狗狗币拥有自己的区块链。

Shibarium 的发展伴随着一定程度的炒作。

这也是一些玩家认为SHIB翻转DOGE的时机已经临近的原因之一。

然而，狗狗币并没有就此停歇。

此外，埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 对 X（前身为 Twitter）的收购使该代币在 2024 年采用率上升方面处于领先地位。

这是因为 X 团队计划在年内整合支付系统，而马斯克对 DOGE 的喜爱意味着该币可能成为此举的一个选择。

2024 年两人都没有戏剧性的表现

如果发生这种情况，并且 Shiba Inu 取得了 L2 的进步，那么两个项目之间的战斗可能会加剧。

AMBCrypto 决定与一些专家讨论这种可能性。

我们采访的第一个人是大卫·凯默勒（David Kemmerer）。

Kemmerer 是加密税务软件 CoinLedger 的首席执行官。

Kemmerer 认为，SHIB 可能会在 2024 年取得巨大进步，但可能无法在一年内翻转 DOGE。

他说，

“I doubt that we will see it flip DOGE. This is mostly just because of how long each of these coins has been around—SHIB is just not seeing the kind of dramatic growth it would need to overtake a long-standing coin like DOGE in just one year.”

Besides the market cap and use cases, other factors could impact Shiba Inu’s place in 2024. One important factor is the SHIB burn.

The Shiba Inu team introduced the burning mechanism to control the supply of the token and increase its value in the long term.

SHIB fights DOGE for demand

As of this writing, the total number of SHIB burned had crossed 410 trillion, according to information from the Shibburn website. On the 4th of December 2023, Shiba Inu informed its community that it was changing the burning model.

Per the statement, the new mechanism would start in January 2024, noting that the token value will increase.

However, SHIB faces a big hurdle with the strategy when compared to Dogecoin. This is mainly because of its circulating supply. According to CoinMarketCap, the number of SHIB tokens in circulation was 589.54 trillion.

DOGE, despite having an unlimited supply, has 142.43 billion tokens in circulation. Should demand rise at the same rate for both cryptocurrencies, Shiba Inu would find it hard to flip Dogecoin.

However, the price performance of SHIB and DOGE has been similar in 2023.

At press time, DOGE’s price was $0.09. This value represents a 29.14% increase on a Year-To-Date (YTD) basis. SHIB’s price at the time of writing was $0.000010, indicating a 28.33% hike.

Going into 2024, there is a high chance that the cryptocurrencies continue to correlate.

Source: CoinMarketCap

New competition for the former bull market kings

However, Shiba Inu and Dogecoin may not be the meme coins that lead in the 2024 cycle. This is because other memes emerged and outright outperformed bother cryptocurrencies.

For example, frog-themed Pepe [PEPE] increased by 2.253%. Solana-based BONK jumped by 4,560% within the same period. FLOKI, which was late to the 2021 bull rally, also increased by 338%.

These performances led AMBCrypto to ask Gracy Chen what she thought of the meme coin era.

Chen is the Managing Director (MD) of crypto exchange Bitget. According to her, DOGE and SHIB might not enjoy the attention they got in 2021.

She also mentioned that cryptocurrencies like BONK and Dogwifhat [WIF] may have better performances in 2024.

Concerning Shiba Inu, Chen noted,

“It’s unlikely that SHIB will become the leading meme coin in 2024 — to achieve this, it needs at least to double its current market cap of $6 billion. If considering the coin’s price, to surpass DOGE, it would need to grow by 9,000 times.”

The Bitget MD also touched on Dogecoin. According to her, Dogecoin would remain the number one meme coin in terms of market cap in 2024. She gave her reasons, saying that:

“世界首富仍然在他的 X 个人资料中显示狗狗币标志，这一事实将继续推动该币的发展，并为其价值增长做出贡献。”

HODLers 更喜欢 DOGE，但是……

从持有者数量来看，AMBCrypto 发现 DOGE 主导了 SHIB。

截至发稿，SHIB持有者总数为136万。

Santiment 的数据显示，DOGE 持有者数量是 SHIB 的 4 倍，达到 571 万。

资料来源：Santiment

还值得一提的是，2023 年 DOGE 持有者数量的增长远远超过 SHIB。这样的情况表明，很大一部分市场都押注狗狗币在未来几个月会有更好的表现。

不管现实与否，这是 SHIB 以 DOGE 表示的市值

进入 2024 年，尽管柴犬最近取得了一些里程碑式的成就，但它可能不会翻转狗狗币。

考虑到当前和潜在的前景，DOGE 可能仍然是按市值计算的顶级模因币。

柴犬也可能保持第二名。

但这两个项目可能都需要留意其他轰动的模因——尤其是 BONK。